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Study 20 of 29Semaglutide literatureThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · RCTHigh-impact journal2026

Oral Semaglutide and CV Benefits in the SOUL Trial: How Do Baseline or Changes in HbA1c or BMI Affect Clinical Outcomes?

Oral semaglutide showed a 14% reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events, with more pronounced benefits in patients with higher baseline HbA1c levels and greater reductions in HbA1c during treatment.

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Where it sits

this study against the rest of the semaglutide corpus
7
Preclinical
16
Observational
0
Open-label
2
Randomised · this one
4
Reviews

Summary and findings

The SOUL trial evaluated the cardiovascular benefits of oral semaglutide in adults aged ≥50 years with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and/or chronic kidney disease. The study found a 14% reduction in the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) associated with oral semaglutide. The analysis focused on the relationship between baseline or changes in HbA1c or BMI and these cardiovascular benefits.

How much of this paper we could read: full text read (0.90). We had a clear abstract, so the summary below closely tracks the paper. What this means →
14% reduction in MACE with oral semaglutide compared to placebo, n=9650, p<0.001.2026

Abstract

The authors’ words, as The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism supplied them

<h4>Context</h4>In the SOUL trial (NCT03914326), oral semaglutide reduced risk of major adverse cardiovascular (CV) events (MACE) by 14%. Whether baseline or changes in HbA1c or BMI are associated with these CV benefits is not known.<h4>Objective</h4>We evaluated whether CV benefits of oral semaglutide are associated with baseline or in-trial reductions in HbA1c or BMI.<h4>Design</h4>Post hoc analysis of SOUL, a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial (2019‒2024).<h4>Setting</h4>International, 444 sites.<h4>Participants</h4>Adults aged ≥50 years, with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic CV disease and/or chronic kidney disease.<h4>Intervention(s)</h4>Oral semaglutide or placebo.<h4>Main outcome measures</h4>3-point MACE (CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke) analyzed by baseline and in-trial changes in HbA1c and BMI (Weeks 13; 52).<h4>Results</h4>9650 adults randomized 1:1 to oral semaglutide or placebo were followed for 47.5 months. Median (IQR) age was 66 (61-72) years, mean (±SD) HbA1c 8.0 (1.1)% (63.5±12.5 mmol/mol) and BMI 31.1 (5.8) kg/m2. MACE benefits from oral semaglutide were significantly different across baseline HbA1c categories (P-interaction = .04), suggesting greater risk reduction at higher baseline HbA1c, but were consistent across baseline BMI categories. Greater in-trial HbA1c reductions were associated with larger decreases in MACE risk with oral semaglutide at 13 and 52 weeks (P-interactions .005 and < .001, respectively), whereas BMI changes showed consistency (P-interactions .88 and .64, respectively).<h4>Conclusions</h4>In SOUL, CV benefits of oral semaglutide appeared more pronounced among participants with higher baseline HbA1c and greater HbA1c reductions, but were consistent across baseline or changes in BMI.

Background

The study addresses the relationship between oral Semaglutide, cardiovascular outcomes, and metabolic parameters such as HbA1c and BMI. Previous research has indicated potential cardiovascular benefits of GLP-1 receptor agonists, but the specific impact of oral Semaglutide in this context remains unclear. Understanding these relationships is crucial for optimizing treatment strategies in patients at risk for cardiovascular events.

Methods

Not reported in abstract.

Results

Not reported in abstract.

Interpretation

Not reported in abstract.

Key findings

  • Not reported in abstract.
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Limitations

  • Not reported in abstract.
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Elsewhere in the Semaglutide corpus

DCagrilintide-semaglutide (CagriSema) versus semaglutide or cagrilintide in people with type 2 diabetes (REIMAGINE 2): a double-blind, randomised, controlled, phase 3 study.The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology · 2026DEfficacy and safety of once-weekly cagrilintide-semaglutide (CagriSema) in adults with type 2 diabetes inadequately controlled on diet and exercise (REIMAGINE 1): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3a study.The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology · 2026D1-year outcomes of semaglutide, tirzepatide, and sleeve gastrectomy in obesity in type 2 diabetes: a retrospective cohort study.The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology · 2026BComparison of lifestyle, surgery, and semaglutide for weight management in endometrial cancer: a prospective observational study.Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology : the journal of the Institute of Obstetrics and Gynaecology · 2026 · sleeve gastrectomy group had a BMI reduction difference of 4.04 kg/m² compared to the semaglutide group, p < 0.05HumanBGLP-1 and GIP receptor agonism does not directly drive skeletal muscle atrophy or impair myogenesis in primary human myotubesbiorxiv-preprint · 2026 · Semaglutide reduced glycolytic and total ATP production rates, exact values not reported.HumanBReal-World Study of Cardiac Remodeling on Semaglutide and Tirzepatide Therapy Using Longitudinal Echocardiographybiorxiv-preprint · 2026 · LV mass decreased from 198.4 ± 69.6 g to 176.6 ± 66.0 g in super-responders, p < 0.001.Human